Election day is just a few weeks away and the 2022 mid-term races are entering their final sprint.
Republicans still hope that Americans’ frustration with inflation and the economy, as well as rising crime, will cloud their concerns about Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization of the Supreme Court decision reversal Eggs against Wade.
On the contrary, the Democrats hope to make abortion a focus of the elections, but they also hope to point to the “MAGA Republicans” as a threat to democracy and to highlight the January 6 uprising.
Here are the most important elections to follow in this cycle.
Republicans haven’t won a Senate run in Nevada since 2012. President Joe Biden won the state by the same margin as Hillary Clinton, but his approval rating remains low in the state at 44%, according to CBS News / YouGov from this month.
The same poll showed former Attorney General Adam Laxalt beat Senator Catherine Cortez Masto by one point, from 49 to 48 percent.
At the same time, polls have historically missed their mark in Nevada. Therefore, the best barometer to see who is ahead is the early voting, which started last weekend.
The Covid-19 pandemic has devastated the state’s hospitality industry as many Latinos are becoming increasingly disillusioned with the Democratic Party. All of this makes Nevada the most likely Senate seat to overturn.
Ms. Cortez Masto, the first and to date only Latin Senator, is calling for re-election against Mr. Laxalt, the former Attorney General and nephew of former Senator and Governor Paul Laxalt. Former President Donald Trump traveled to Nevada this month to support his favorite candidate. Ms. Cortez Masto on her part criticized Mr. Laxalt for promoting the big lie that the 2020 presidential election was stolen.
The race to replace retired Senator Pat Toomey has easily become the ugliest and most intensely personal race of the 2022 mid-term cycle. That race culminates on Tuesday when Democratic Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman takes on Mehmet Oz in Harrisburg on Tuesday night.
Mr. Fetterman’s advantage over Dr. Oz has been eroded, thanks to a flurry of ads portraying the Democrat as a penchant for crime. A CBS News / YouGov poll released on the day of the debate showed Mr. Fetterman with a two-point lead over Dr. Oz from 51 to 49 percent. The same poll showed that Dr. Oz solidified support for him among Republicans. In September, 87 percent of prospective Republican voters said they supported Dr. Oz; that number jumped to 94%. But his numbers, his enthusiasm for him have diminished.
Conversely, Democratic enthusiasm for Fetterman has waned, as 63 percent of prospective Democratic voters were “very enthusiastic” in September. That number dropped to 47% in October. Likewise, some have criticized Mr. Fetterman for his need to use subtitles after suffering a stroke in May to facilitate auditory processing. Mr Fetterman will use this service in the debate on Tuesday evening.
Senate of Georgia
The Georgia Senate race took center stage this month laterThe everyday beast reported that Republican candidate Herschel Walker allegedly paid for a woman’s abortion despite his open opposition during the election campaign. The New York Times She later confirmed the story and reported that Mr. Walker pressured the same woman to abort another, which she refused. The independent contacted the Walker campaign. During an interview with NBC News, Mr. Walker acknowledged writing the check but denied it was for an abortion.
No bad press has dissuaded Republicans from supporting Walker as he defies Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock. For his part, Mr. Warnock refrained from directly criticizing Mr. Walker on the abortion allegation, but a poll showed that support for Mr. Walker has waned. The two faced off in a single debate this month, in which Walker accused Warnock of being a rubber stamp for Biden’s agenda. Meanwhile, Mr. Warnock criticized Mr. Walker, a former University of Georgia running back, of pretending to be a police officer, which led to Mr. Walker displaying an honorary badge that he received.
governor of Arizona
Arizona Democratic Secretary of State Katie Hobbs is racing head-to-head against Republican candidate and former news anchor Kari Lake. Ms. Lake parroted Trump’s lies about the theft of the 2020 presidential election, while Ms. Hobbs became a target of threats while she oversaw the election.
In an interview with CNN this month, Ms. Lake did not commit to accepting the election results, repeatedly saying “I will win the election and I will accept that result.”
But many Democrats fear that Ms. Hobbs wasted her chances of overthrowing the Arizona government after refusing to argue with Ms. Lake. On the same Sunday as Ms. Lake’s interview with CNN, host Dana Bash asked if Ms. Hobbs supported any abortion limits, which Ms. Hobbs avoided. Polls show the two are stuck in a close contest. The race could determine whether a Republican like Ms. Lake could defy the will of the people if the state votes for a Democrat and refuses to certify the election results in favor of a Republican.
The race for the Arizona Senate is much less fluctuating, albeit still contested. Democratic Senator Mark Kelly and Republican opponent Blake Masters faced off in a debate last week. The same CBS News / YouGov poll showed that Mr. Kelly leads Mr. Masters by 51 to 48 percent. In recent months, Mr. Masters has been attempting to backtrack from his previous uncompromising stance on abortion, including by deleting his website.
Mr. Kelly struck Mr. Masters in their debate for also deleting parts of his website about the “big lie”. Mr. Masters, for his part, tried to tie Mr. Kelly to Mr. Biden, who, despite winning the state in 2020, is unpopular.
Mr. Kelly has posted an ad saying he is in favor of filling the gaps in the US-Mexico border, saying he gets “left when they want to definance the police, and I stand right when they want a national ban. abortion “, before adding:” When Joe Biden gets it wrong, I call him out. “
governor of Florida and Texas
Acting Republican Governors Ron DeSantis of Florida and Greg Abbott of Texas have caused a stir nationwide by sending immigrants and refugees to Democratic areas of the country as a means of criticizing the Biden administration’s policies regarding the US-Mexico border. But despite criticism from the Democrats, both men are in a strong position to win re-election. A good performance from DeSantis, who became a right-wing hero after keeping the state mostly open during the Covid-19 pandemic, could well position him to run for president in the Republican primary of 2024.
While Democrat Beto O’Rouke has repeatedly criticized Mr. Abbott for his positions on weapons and abortion in their debate and campaigning, a Quinnipiac poll showed that Mr. Abbott leads O’Rourke by seven points in the poll and most voters rank the economy as the biggest problem followed by the Texas-Mexico border.
Meanwhile, Mr. DeSantis and Democrat Charlie Crist, a former Republican governor-turned-Democrat, discussed Monday night. Although Mr. DeSantis has a double-digit advantage, he refused to answer a question from Mr. Crist asking if he would serve a four-year term.
Wisconsin Democrats have officially called in the big boys to save their chances of overturning the Wisconsin Senate race: Former President Barack Obama will travel to Milwaukee to run for the Senate and publish an announcement in support of Democratic Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes . Barnes faced two debates this month. Barnes tried to paint Johnson as an extremist for downplaying the January 6 uprising and trying to overturn the 2020 presidential election, as well as his stance on abortion.
After initially leading the race, Republicans hammered Mr. Barnes into saying he supports police definancing, and CNN reported that there is evidence that he at least supported moving police funds to other areas. The Republican appears to have a slight lead, as a CNN poll showed Johnson beat Barnes by 50 to 49 percent.